World's Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund to Cut U.S. Treasury Holdings


<p>The bloodbath in the bond market keeps picking up speed along with <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/07/28/with-bonds-struggling-investors-turning-to-tangible-assets-like-gold-005096&quot;>the debasement trade</a>.</p>
<p>Last week, the world&rsquo;s largest sovereign wealth fund announced a plan to slash its government bond holdings by about 20 percent.</p>
<p>"<em>We recommend that the government subindex of the bond index be reduced from 70 percent to 50 percent</em>," Norges Bank governor Ida Wolden Bache and Norges Bank IM CEO Nicolai Tangen wrote in a letter.</p>
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<p>"A government share of 50 percent will be &zwnj;sufficient to&nbsp;⁠cover the liquidity needs, including in periods of turbulence in financial markets."</p>
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<p>Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) was founded in the early 1990s to invest Norway&rsquo;s oil and gas wealth. It holds about $2.3 trillion in its portfolio.</p>
<p>U.S. Treasuries make up the bulk of Norway&rsquo;s sovereign wealth fund bond holdings. According to <em>Reuters</em>, the fund will need to shed about $80 trillion in Treasury holdings to accomplish its goal.</p>
<p>The fund will also reportedly divest around $20 billion in Japanese bonds and decrease holdings of euro-area bonds as well.</p>
<p>The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund did not announce a timeline for the move, but <em>The Business Standard</em> reported the transactions won&rsquo;t likely occur until early 2027.</p>
<p>The announcement was yet another body blow to the struggling bond market. Many analysts believe we are in <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/07/18/the-ramifications-of-a-long-term-bond-bear-market-005079&quot;>the early stages of a long-term secular bear market in bonds</a>.</p>
<p>Over the last couple of years, long-term bond yields have faced persistent upward pressure. The 10-year Treasury spiked in 2022, rising from around 1.5 percent in late 2021 to a high of nearly 5 percent in the fall of 2023. Since then, yields have remained at those elevated levels despite the Fed cutting rates and geopolitical events that would have historically created significant safe-haven demand for Treasuries.</p>
<p><em>Reuters</em>&nbsp;recently reported that &ldquo;<em>inflation, heavy government borrowing, policy uncertainty and bouts of stocks and bonds falling in tandem have weakened bonds' role as a ballast, prompting some investors to look for more diversification.</em>&rdquo;</p>
<p>The NBIM&rsquo;s announcement is part of a broader trend as more people lose faith in government finances.</p>
<p>For decades, governments and central banks have held U.S. government debt as a &ldquo;safe&rdquo; asset. That is starting to shift because many governments no longer view U.S. debt as &ldquo;safe.&rdquo; They are concerned about the U.S.&rsquo;s fiscal position, with <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/07/16/us-government-runs-another-big-deficit-in-june-as-interest-expense-climbs-005073&quot;>constant deficit spending</a>&nbsp;piling onto nearly $40 trillion in debt, along with the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2024/02/29/could-weaponization-of-the-dollar-as-a-foreign-policy-billy-club-accelerate-de-dollarization-003013&quot;>weaponization of the dollar</a>. Notably, de-dollarization went into overdrive after the U.S. and its Western allies froze Russia's dollar-denominated assets after the invasion of Ukraine.</p>
<p>A Massif Capital note pointed out that many foreign government buyers have been slowly selling U.S. Treasuries over the last several years.</p>
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<p>&ldquo;Players like China are changing their approach and have been doing so for several years. China recently reduced its holdings to $652.3 billion, the lowest level since September 2008.&rdquo;</p>
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<p>Higher yields inherent in a bond bear market are already squeezing U.S. policymakers.</p>
<p>So far in fiscal 2026, <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/13/trump-administration-runs-largest-monthly-budget-deficit-in-five-years-005135&quot;>the U.S. Treasury has spent $1.17 trillion on interest expense</a>. That was up 15.5 percent compared to the same period in fiscal &rsquo;25. Interest on the national debt cost&nbsp;<strong>$1.2&nbsp;trillion</strong>&nbsp;in fiscal 2025. That was&nbsp;up&nbsp;7.3&nbsp;percent&nbsp;over 2024.</p>
<p>Simply put, the federal government can&rsquo;t afford higher interest rates.</p>
<p>In an effort to stop the bleeding, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/20/us-treasury-intervenes-in-bond-market-to-drive-yields-lower-005150&quot;>a bond buyback at the long end of the yield curve</a>.</p>
<p>It worked.</p>
<p>For about one day.</p>
<p>Vantage Point Asset Management CIO Nick Ferres told the <em>Financial Post </em>that &ldquo;<em>Debt and deficits are unsustainable in most of the advanced economies.</em>&rdquo; However, he cautioned against reading too much into Norway&rsquo;s recent announcement.</p>
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<p>&ldquo;At some point there will be a fiscal crisis; however, this development is not necessarily a signal of that today.&rdquo;</p>
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