Dow:Gold Ratio Breakdown: What's the Downside Target for Stocks?


<p>The U.S. dollar has been <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/22/major-breakdown-in-the-us-dollar-signals-trouble-ahead-004002&quot;>breaking down</a> as capital continues to flow out of America, creating a strong tailwind for gold.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the yellow metal rallied to $3,500 in last night's overnight session but has since pulled back to trade near yesterday's close of $3,437.</p>
<p><img class="mx-auto md:float-right p-3" src="https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/gold-chart-250421-400×280.png&quot; alt="Gold Price Chart: April 21, 2025" width="400" height="280" loading="lazy" /></p>
<p>Frenetic <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/21/record-gold-prices-driving-chinese-investment-demand-004000&quot;>Chinese buying</a> is a major driver fueling this month's gold rally, but so is the rotation of capital out of stocks and bonds into the best-performing asset class of the year, by far.</p>
<p>The Dow:Gold ratio is breaking down badly &ndash; i.e., stocks are doing even worse in terms of gold.</p>
<p>If this key ratio returns to its 2011 low, <i>that points to a 50% further decline in stocks as compared to gold bullion</i>.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, silver is trading sideways around $32.90 this morning. The "poor man's gold" continues its <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/21/gold-silver-ratio-over-103-indicates-silver-is-on-sale-003999&quot;>underperformance to gold</a> but has nevertheless been handily beating general U.S. stock indices.</p>
<p>Both buying and selling of <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold/coins&quot;>gold coins</a>, <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold/bars&quot;>bars</a>, and <a href="https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold/rounds&quot;>rounds</a> have increased in recent days.</p>
<p>Premiums at Money Metals remain at multi-year lows &ndash; meaning that purchasers are able to acquire gold ounces at just a smidgeon over the global spot price.</p>

      



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